Água Santa vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 2
GUA
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 0
AGU
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
FRA
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 0
VOT
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAT
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 2
VOT
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 2
COT
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
INT
0 - 2
MAT
47%
25%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
IND
1 - 1
MAT
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |