Ağrı Spor vs Zonguldak Kömürspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
49.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
16º
6º
39
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 62 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 50 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 50 |
6º
|
36% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 46 |
7º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 33 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 30 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 16% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 29% |
|
Next round
|
73% | 54.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
26% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ağrı Spor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
KIR
1 - 1
ASP
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASP
0 - 0
KAH
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
EDI
1 - 2
ASP
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ASP
2 - 1
BUY
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 5
ASP
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Zonguldak Kömürspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ZON
2 - 0
BUY
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TAL
0 - 1
ZON
24%
24%
51%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
ZON
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ZON
1 - 1
NBF
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BER
1 - 0
ZON
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |