AGF Aarhus vs Nordsjaelland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
ESB
2 - 0
AGF
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FCK
4 - 1
AGF
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
AGF
1 - 1
ESB
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
MID
1 - 1
AGF
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
AGF
2 - 2
FCN
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
FCN
1 - 1
AKA
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FCN
1 - 0
VFF
37%
24%
38%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
AKA
1 - 2
FCN
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
FCN
1 - 3
AAB
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
AGF
2 - 2
FCN
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |