Champions League 1/16
Global 4-2
AGF Aarhus vs Jeunesse d'Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
AGF
0 - 1
KSV
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
KSV
5 - 2
AGF
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
AGF
1 - 0
WLO
43%
23%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1984 |
WLO
2 - 0
AGF
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
AGF
1 - 4
CEL
21%
22%
57%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Jeunesse d'Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 1
JEU
86%
10%
5%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1986 |
JEU
1 - 2
GEN
22%
21%
57%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
JUV
4 - 1
JEU
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
JEU
0 - 5
JUV
22%
25%
52%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
JEU
0 - 2
BFC
4%
12%
84%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | 0 |