1. Deild Playoffs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Afturelding vs Fjölnir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afturelding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AFT
3 - 0
REY
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FJO
2 - 0
AFT
49%
23%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AFT
4 - 1
NJA
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IBV
2 - 3
AFT
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
AFT
1 - 0
THR
53%
22%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fjölnir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KEF
4 - 0
FJO
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FJO
2 - 0
AFT
49%
23%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 1
FJO
23%
22%
55%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FJO
1 - 2
REY
60%
21%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
THO
1 - 1
FJO
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |