African Warriors vs Mthatha Bucks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
African Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
WAR
4 - 1
SWA
34%
26%
41%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EAG
3 - 0
WAR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 3
WIT
38%
29%
34%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SFC
1 - 0
WAR
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
WAR
0 - 1
PAR
33%
27%
41%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mthatha Bucks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MTH
1 - 1
MBO
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 2
MTH
53%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MTH
0 - 0
AMA
23%
28%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
WIT
3 - 2
MTH
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
MTH
63%
23%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |