AFC Totton vs Dorchester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Totton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
AFT
5 - 1
TAU
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AFT
1 - 1
GLO
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
PLY
1 - 2
AFT
13%
21%
67%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AFT
2 - 0
HAN
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AFT
1 - 0
MER
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dorchester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 0
PLY
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 3
HAN
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 5
DOR
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
DOR
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TIV
0 - 0
DOR
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |