AFC Totton vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Totton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RED
0 - 0
AFT
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
AFT
2 - 3
CAM
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WEY
3 - 2
AFT
30%
23%
48%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EVE
1 - 0
AFT
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
AFT
3 - 0
CIR
82%
12%
6%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
STO
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHE
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
WOR
4 - 1
BRA
35%
24%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
WOR
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MIC
4 - 0
BRA
23%
22%
55%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -3 |