National League North round 37

AFC Telford United vs Worcester City analysis

AFC Telford United Worcester City
35 ELO 31
-7.2% Tilt -10.8%
4687º General ELO ranking 8502º
171º Country ELO ranking 402º
ELO win probability
56.4%
AFC Telford United
23.1%
Draw
20.5%
Worcester City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
AFC Telford United
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
Worcester City
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Telford United
-21%
-12%
Worcester City

ELO progression

AFC Telford United
Worcester City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Telford United
AFC Telford United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2017
STA
Stalybridge Celtic
0 - 2
AFC Telford United
AFC
46%
23%
31%
33 28 5 0
25 Mar. 2017
BRA
Brackley Town
2 - 1
AFC Telford United
AFC
70%
19%
11%
34 48 14 -1
18 Mar. 2017
AFC
AFC Telford United
1 - 3
Bradford Park Avenue
BRA
61%
21%
18%
35 29 6 -1
11 Mar. 2017
CHO
Chorley
2 - 1
AFC Telford United
AFC
66%
21%
13%
36 47 11 -1
07 Mar. 2017
AFC
AFC Telford United
0 - 6
Brackley Town
BRA
22%
25%
53%
38 48 10 -2

Matches

Worcester City
Worcester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2017
STA
Stalybridge Celtic
0 - 1
Worcester City
WOR
56%
22%
23%
32 30 2 0
21 Mar. 2017
WOR
Worcester City
1 - 2
Brackley Town
BRA
18%
24%
59%
33 47 14 -1
18 Mar. 2017
WOR
Worcester City
0 - 2
Boston United
BOS
39%
24%
37%
34 37 3 -1
11 Mar. 2017
NUN
Nuneaton Town
1 - 1
Worcester City
WOR
64%
22%
15%
34 43 9 0
04 Mar. 2017
WOR
Worcester City
2 - 2
Darlington FC
DAR
14%
20%
66%
33 47 14 +1