National League North round 10

AFC Telford United vs Worcester City analysis

AFC Telford United Worcester City
40 ELO 38
-7.3% Tilt -3.6%
4687º General ELO ranking 8502º
171º Country ELO ranking 402º
ELO win probability
50.6%
AFC Telford United
24.6%
Draw
24.8%
Worcester City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
AFC Telford United
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.8%
Win probability
Worcester City
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Telford United
-8%
-10%
Worcester City

ELO progression

AFC Telford United
Worcester City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Telford United
AFC Telford United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2013
AFC
AFC Telford United
4 - 1
Colwyn Bay
COL
42%
26%
33%
38 40 2 0
14 Sep. 2013
BRA
Bradford Park Avenue
3 - 1
AFC Telford United
AFC
58%
22%
19%
39 43 4 -1
07 Sep. 2013
AFC
AFC Telford United
0 - 1
Harrogate Town
TOW
30%
26%
44%
41 48 7 -2
31 Aug. 2013
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
1 - 3
AFC Telford United
AFC
60%
22%
18%
39 45 6 +2
26 Aug. 2013
AFC
AFC Telford United
1 - 1
Solihull Moors
SOL
29%
26%
45%
38 48 10 +1

Matches

Worcester City
Worcester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2013
WOR
Worcester City
4 - 0
Workington
WOR
37%
26%
38%
36 41 5 0
17 Sep. 2013
WOR
Worcester City
2 - 2
Gainsborough Trinity
GAI
30%
25%
45%
35 44 9 +1
14 Sep. 2013
COL
Colwyn Bay
0 - 0
Worcester City
WOR
61%
21%
18%
35 40 5 0
07 Sep. 2013
WOR
Worcester City
1 - 2
Bradford Park Avenue
BRA
30%
24%
46%
36 42 6 -1
31 Aug. 2013
BOS
Boston United
2 - 1
Worcester City
WOR
63%
21%
17%
37 43 6 -1