National League North round 18

AFC Telford United vs Curzon Ashton analysis

AFC Telford United Curzon Ashton
37 ELO 34
-1.7% Tilt -2.6%
4666º General ELO ranking 4009º
168º Country ELO ranking 133º
ELO win probability
58.9%
AFC Telford United
21.1%
Draw
20%
Curzon Ashton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
AFC Telford United
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20%
Win probability
Curzon Ashton
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AFC Telford United
-12%
+11%
Curzon Ashton

ELO progression

AFC Telford United
Curzon Ashton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AFC Telford United
AFC Telford United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2021
AFC
AFC Telford United
0 - 2
Fylde
FYL
20%
22%
59%
38 49 11 0
02 Jan. 2021
CHE
Chester
3 - 0
AFC Telford United
AFC
57%
22%
22%
40 42 2 -2
26 Dec. 2020
AFC
AFC Telford United
1 - 2
Chester
CHE
42%
25%
33%
41 43 2 -1
19 Dec. 2020
DAR
Darlington FC
2 - 2
AFC Telford United
AFC
48%
24%
28%
41 43 2 0
15 Dec. 2020
COL
Coleshill Town FC
1 - 10
AFC Telford United
AFC
22%
21%
57%
40 25 15 +1

Matches

Curzon Ashton
Curzon Ashton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Dec. 2020
CUR
Curzon Ashton
3 - 0
Bradford Park Avenue
BRA
38%
23%
39%
32 35 3 0
26 Dec. 2020
SOU
Southport
2 - 2
Curzon Ashton
CUR
64%
20%
17%
32 37 5 0
15 Dec. 2020
CUR
Curzon Ashton
1 - 4
Fylde
FYL
15%
20%
65%
34 49 15 -2
12 Dec. 2020
CUR
Curzon Ashton
0 - 1
Gloucester City
GLO
31%
25%
44%
35 41 6 -1
05 Dec. 2020
SPE
Spennymoor Town
3 - 1
Curzon Ashton
CUR
70%
18%
12%
36 44 8 -1