AFC Sudbury vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
NEE
2 - 1
YEL
47%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 1
YEL
35%
24%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
YEL
3 - 0
BUR
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
YEL
2 - 1
GOS
44%
23%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
YEL
1 - 2
HAR
39%
25%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 2
BIL
33%
24%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 2
MER
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
TON
3 - 0
CAN
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 0
CAN
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
KIN
3 - 1
CAN
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |