FA Cup 1/512
Global 2-4
AFC Hornchurch vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 1
HOR
19%
20%
61%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 2
CHM
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HOR
2 - 1
HTG
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WOR
0 - 0
HOR
62%
19%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 0
FAR
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 1
HOR
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
BED
4 - 3
LEI
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEI
36%
24%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
LEI
3 - 1
BRE
48%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 2
LEI
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |