AFC Dunstable vs Berkhamsted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AFD
1 - 0
YEL
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFD
2 - 0
CON
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
AFD
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
SLO
7 - 1
AFD
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AFD
4 - 0
BAR
52%
21%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Berkhamsted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HIT
0 - 2
BER
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LOA
1 - 4
BER
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
HAL
20%
21%
58%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
6 - 2
BER
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
BAR
16%
19%
64%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |