FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-2
AFC Bournemouth vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BOU
1 - 1
SWI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
WIG
1 - 1
BOU
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 0
BOU
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
BOU
3 - 0
CRA
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
BOU
3 - 0
YEO
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FUL
1 - 1
WIG
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
WIG
1 - 1
BOU
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
WIG
0 - 4
MUD
10%
19%
71%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ASV
0 - 3
WIG
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 1
WIG
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |