AFC Bournemouth vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TRA
1 - 1
BOU
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
OLD
1 - 1
BOU
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
BOU
6 - 3
LUT
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
BOU
1 - 0
BHA
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
NOT
0 - 1
BOU
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
SWA
0 - 0
BRO
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
OXF
0 - 0
BRO
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
BRO
1 - 1
LEY
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
BRO
0 - 2
CAM
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
DAR
0 - 4
BRO
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |