Afan Lido vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
LID
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
LID
1 - 3
TNS
15%
24%
60%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PRE
4 - 2
LID
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 1
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 2
AIR
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
LID
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AIR
1 - 2
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
ABE
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
LID
35%
25%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |