Cup Last 16
Global 4-3
AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos Nicosia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
AEK
2 - 1
OMO
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
APO
1 - 2
AEK
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AEK
2 - 0
ALK
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
AEK
1 - 2
DOX
70%
20%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ENO
1 - 2
AEK
30%
30%
40%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiakos Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 1
OLY
37%
28%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
OLY
3 - 2
AYI
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NEA
3 - 2
OLY
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
OLY
3 - 1
PAF
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
OMO
2 - 0
OLY
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |