AEK Larnaca vs Nea Salamis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
8º
3º
13
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 59 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 52 |
4º
|
73% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 43 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 25 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 14 |
14º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
ETH
2 - 2
AEK
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
AEK
0 - 3
OMO
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PAF
0 - 1
AEK
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AEK
4 - 0
APO
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
AEK
8 - 0
PAE
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Nea Salamis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
NEA
1 - 1
APO
18%
26%
57%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
NEA
0 - 3
ETH
30%
25%
46%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
OMO
3 - 0
NEA
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
NEA
0 - 2
PAF
16%
24%
60%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
ENO
0 - 0
NEA
30%
24%
46%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |