Europa League 1/32
Global 3-1
AEK Athens vs ASA Târgu Mureş analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
ASA
1 - 0
AEK
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1977 |
AEK
0 - 1
JUV
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1977 |
JUV
4 - 1
AEK
86%
9%
4%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1977 |
AEK
3 - 0
QPR
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 1977 |
QPR
3 - 0
AEK
83%
11%
6%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
ASA Târgu Mureş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
ASA
2 - 0
FAR
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
STB
3 - 1
ASA
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
ASA
1 - 0
AEK
57%
21%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ASA
4 - 1
RES
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
ASA
4 - 0
FCM
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |