Franciacorta vs Sona Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
10º
7º
26
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
45% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VCB
1 - 1
ADR
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FOL
2 - 0
ADR
33%
25%
43%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ADR
1 - 1
ACL
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
ADR
26%
23%
51%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ADR
2 - 1
USP
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sona Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SON
0 - 0
VIL
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ACL
1 - 0
SON
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SON
2 - 0
USB
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FOL
3 - 1
SON
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SON
2 - 3
DES
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |