ADO 20 vs Katwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
12º
18º
17º
35
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 74 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 67 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 67 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 65 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 47 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 43 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 41 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 41 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 37 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 31 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 29 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
8 | 23 |
17º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 21 |
18º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
53.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
36.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADO 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SVH
2 - 1
ADO
19%
19%
62%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
DEM
0 - 4
ADO
34%
23%
43%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EEM
0 - 3
ADO
37%
23%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TEL
0 - 0
ADO
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ADO
1 - 1
QUI
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Katwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAT
6 - 0
TOG
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAT
3 - 0
HOL
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
KAT
6 - 1
SVH
64%
19%
17%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KAT
2 - 1
ODI
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
2 - 4
KAT
23%
21%
56%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |