Admira Wacker vs Kapfenberger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
11º
2º
25
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 48 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 41 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 22 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
27% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Admira Wacker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ANN
1 - 5
AWM
9%
15%
77%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAP
3 - 1
AWM
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 0
AWM
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
AWM
0 - 0
FCB
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
AWM
1 - 1
FEN
15%
22%
63%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Kapfenberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 6
KAP
12%
17%
71%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
KAP
3 - 0
FAV
83%
12%
6%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
4 - 1
KAP
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
WEI
2 - 1
KAP
26%
21%
53%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
DLB
0 - 2
KAP
27%
22%
51%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |