Liga Nacional Murcia round 5

ADM Lorquí Sub 19 vs CD Cieza U19 analysis

ADM Lorquí Sub 19 CD Cieza U19
18 ELO 15
-8.5% Tilt 2.5%
7485º General ELO ranking 8996º
919º Country ELO ranking 2192º
ELO win probability
48.8%
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
21.5%
Draw
29.7%
CD Cieza U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.7%
Win probability
CD Cieza U19
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
+8%
-13%
CD Cieza U19

Points and table prediction

ADM Lorquí Sub 19
Their league position
CD Cieza U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
33
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
EF Torre Pacheco U19
47
81
86%
Pinatar Sub 19
41
69
34%
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
37
68
29%
Real Murcia U19 B
36
66
20%
Cartagena FC U19
34
61
27.5%
Villa de Fortuna Sub 19
33
58
27.5%
CD Cieza U19
33
57
22.5%
UCAM Murcia U19 B
10º
23
50
31%
FC Cartagena B Sub 19
25
46
23.5%
Fútbol Base Yecla Sub 19
25
46
10º
20.5%
Lorca CFB Sub 19
11º
22
43
11º
20.5%
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
13º
18
36
12º
18.5%
Ranero Sub 19
12º
22
35
13º
15.5%
Unión Molinense U19
14º
17
35
14º
19.5%
EDMF Churra Sub 19
15º
15
29
15º
20.5%
At. Pulpileño Sub 19
17º
14
29
16º
18.5%
Unión Archena U19
16º
14
25
17º
24.5%
CD Mediterráneo U19
18º
12
23
18º
50.5%
Expected probabilities
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
CD Cieza U19
Promotion
3.5% 0%
Mid-table
96.5% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ADM Lorquí Sub 19
CD Cieza U19
Cartagena FC U19
Pinatar Sub 19
Unión Molinense U19
Villa de Fortuna Sub 19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ADM Lorquí Sub 19
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2024
PIN
Pinatar Sub 19
2 - 1
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
ADM
28%
22%
50%
18 14 4 0
29 Sep. 2024
ADM
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
0 - 0
Cartagena FC U19
CFC
63%
20%
18%
18 14 4 0
21 Sep. 2024
EFT
EF Torre Pacheco U19
0 - 1
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
ADM
39%
23%
38%
17 16 1 +1
15 Sep. 2024
ADM
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
1 - 0
Ranero Sub 19
RAN
87%
9%
3%
17 6 11 0
01 Jun. 2024
LOR
Lorca CFB Sub 19
3 - 2
ADM Lorquí Sub 19
ADM
24%
21%
55%
17 13 4 0

Matches

CD Cieza U19
CD Cieza U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2024
CIE
CD Cieza U19
2 - 1
Unión Molinense U19
EFM
67%
17%
16%
15 11 4 0
28 Sep. 2024
VDF
Villa de Fortuna Sub 19
1 - 1
CD Cieza U19
CIE
17%
18%
65%
15 8 7 0
20 Sep. 2024
CIE
CD Cieza U19
5 - 2
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
PRO
74%
15%
11%
15 9 6 0
14 Sep. 2024
CLU
At. Pulpileño Sub 19
1 - 2
CD Cieza U19
CIE
14%
17%
69%
15 7 8 0
31 May. 2024
BEN
Beniaján CF U19
3 - 0
CD Cieza U19
CIE
11%
15%
74%
16 8 8 -1