A-League Quarter-finals

Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar analysis

Adelaide United Brisbane Roar
75 ELO 71
5.5% Tilt -0.4%
1421º General ELO ranking 1844º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
52.2%
Adelaide United
24.6%
Draw
23.2%
Brisbane Roar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
Adelaide United
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.2%
Win probability
Brisbane Roar
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Adelaide United
-2%
-18%
Brisbane Roar

ELO progression

Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Adelaide United
Adelaide United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2015
ADE
Adelaide United
4 - 1
Melbourne City
MCI
51%
26%
23%
74 73 1 0
18 Apr. 2015
WES
Western Sydney Wanderers
2 - 1
Adelaide United
ADE
35%
28%
36%
75 70 5 -1
11 Apr. 2015
ADE
Adelaide United
2 - 3
Brisbane Roar
BRI
50%
25%
25%
76 73 3 -1
04 Apr. 2015
SYD
Sydney FC
0 - 1
Adelaide United
ADE
48%
25%
28%
75 74 1 +1
29 Mar. 2015
NEW
Newcastle Jets
0 - 1
Adelaide United
ADE
30%
27%
44%
75 63 12 0

Matches

Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2015
BRI
Brisbane Roar
2 - 1
Newcastle Jets
NEW
65%
21%
15%
72 62 10 0
21 Apr. 2015
BEI
Beijing Guoan
0 - 1
Brisbane Roar
BRI
62%
22%
17%
72 80 8 0
18 Apr. 2015
BRI
Brisbane Roar
1 - 2
Melbourne Victory
MEL
35%
25%
40%
72 77 5 0
15 Apr. 2015
BRI
Brisbane Roar
1 - 2
Melbourne Victory
MEL
35%
25%
40%
73 77 4 -1
11 Apr. 2015
ADE
Adelaide United
2 - 3
Brisbane Roar
BRI
50%
25%
25%
73 76 3 0