Adelaide United II vs South Adelaide Panthers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
12º
6º
11
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
57.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide United II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ADO
2 - 3
ADE
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 4
NEM
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 4
ADE
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
ADE
15%
18%
67%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 5
MOD
74%
15%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
South Adelaide Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 4
MOD
28%
21%
51%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
SAP
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
SAP
3 - 4
ADE
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
WHI
2 - 3
SAP
63%
19%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 5
ADE
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |