Foxtel National Youth League round 8

Adelaide United U21 vs Melbourne Victory U21 analysis

Adelaide United U21 Melbourne Victory U21
27 ELO 17
9.9% Tilt 10.2%
7838º General ELO ranking 29952º
56º Country ELO ranking 189º
ELO win probability
80.2%
Adelaide United U21
12.6%
Draw
7.2%
Melbourne Victory U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
Adelaide United U21
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
7.2%
Win probability
Melbourne Victory U21
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Adelaide United U21
-3%
+64%
Melbourne Victory U21

ELO progression

Adelaide United U21
Melbourne Victory U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Adelaide United U21
Adelaide United U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2018
MEL
Melbourne City U21
4 - 3
Adelaide United U21
ADE
64%
18%
19%
29 34 5 0
28 Dec. 2017
ADE
Adelaide United U21
2 - 2
Perth Glory U21
PER
64%
19%
17%
30 23 7 -1
16 Dec. 2017
BRI
Brisbane Roar U21
1 - 4
Adelaide United U21
ADE
64%
18%
18%
27 32 5 +3
08 Dec. 2017
MEL
Melbourne Victory U21
1 - 0
Adelaide United U21
ADE
11%
17%
72%
29 12 17 -2
25 Nov. 2017
ADE
Adelaide United U21
1 - 1
Melbourne City U21
MEL
44%
21%
35%
28 32 4 +1

Matches

Melbourne Victory U21
Melbourne Victory U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2018
MEL
Melbourne Victory U21
3 - 3
Brisbane Roar U21
BRI
14%
17%
68%
16 28 12 0
17 Dec. 2017
PER
Perth Glory U21
2 - 3
Melbourne Victory U21
MEL
80%
13%
8%
15 24 9 +1
08 Dec. 2017
MEL
Melbourne Victory U21
1 - 0
Adelaide United U21
ADE
11%
17%
72%
12 29 17 +3
03 Dec. 2017
MEL
Melbourne City U21
9 - 2
Melbourne Victory U21
MEL
90%
7%
3%
13 32 19 -1
26 Nov. 2017
BRI
Brisbane Roar U21
4 - 1
Melbourne Victory U21
MEL
90%
8%
3%
13 31 18 0