Adelaide City vs Croydon Kings analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
11º
4º
28
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 43 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 41 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
85% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 31 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
4 - 0
ADE
45%
24%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 2
MOD
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 2
ADE
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
2 - 1
ADE
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WHI
0 - 1
ADE
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Croydon Kings
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CRO
5 - 3
SAP
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ADO
4 - 1
CRO
35%
23%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 3
NEM
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAR
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 4
CRO
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |