National Premier Norte NSW round 9

Adamstown Rosebuds vs Weston Bears analysis

Adamstown Rosebuds Weston Bears
15 ELO 30
-0.3% Tilt 9.7%
10770º General ELO ranking 5873º
78º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
15%
Adamstown Rosebuds
19.6%
Draw
65.4%
Weston Bears

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
Adamstown Rosebuds
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.4%
Win probability
Weston Bears
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Adamstown Rosebuds
-82%
-27%
Weston Bears

Points and table prediction

Adamstown Rosebuds
Their league position
Weston Bears
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
11º
34
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Broadmeadow Magic
55
55
100%
Lambton Jaffas FC
52
52
100%
Edgeworth Eagles
45
45
100%
Charlestown City Blues
42
42
100%
Newcastle Olympic
39
39
100%
Weston Bears
34
34
100%
Cooks Hill
31
31
100%
Valentine Phoenix
30
30
100%
Maitland
25
25
100%
New Lambton Eagles
10º
15
15
10º
100%
Adamstown Rosebuds
11º
9
9
11º
100%
Lake Macquarie
12º
4
4
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Adamstown Rosebuds
Weston Bears
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Adamstown Rosebuds
Weston Bears
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Adamstown Rosebuds
Adamstown Rosebuds
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
ADR
Adamstown Rosebuds
1 - 3
Cooks Hill
CHU
24%
20%
56%
16 24 8 0
23 Mar. 2024
MAI
Maitland
1 - 1
Adamstown Rosebuds
ADR
85%
10%
5%
16 38 22 0
16 Mar. 2024
ADR
Adamstown Rosebuds
2 - 2
New Lambton Eagles
NLE
84%
10%
5%
16 6 10 0
09 Mar. 2024
ADR
Adamstown Rosebuds
0 - 3
Valentine Phoenix
VAL
30%
23%
48%
17 21 4 -1
05 Mar. 2024
BRO
Broadmeadow Magic
3 - 2
Adamstown Rosebuds
ADR
84%
11%
5%
17 33 16 0

Matches

Weston Bears
Weston Bears
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2024
NLE
New Lambton Eagles
2 - 1
Weston Bears
WBE
10%
16%
75%
31 6 25 0
13 Apr. 2024
VAL
Valentine Phoenix
2 - 0
Weston Bears
WBE
23%
22%
55%
33 22 11 -2
07 Apr. 2024
CHA
Charlestown City Blues
1 - 3
Weston Bears
WBE
50%
23%
27%
31 32 1 +2
23 Mar. 2024
WBE
Weston Bears
2 - 3
Broadmeadow Magic
BRO
36%
22%
42%
32 35 3 -1
17 Mar. 2024
LAM
Lambton Jaffas FC
2 - 1
Weston Bears
WBE
68%
18%
14%
32 40 8 0