San Juan vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+124%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ASJ
2 - 0
CDG
44%
26%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
COR
3 - 0
ASJ
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ASJ
1 - 0
UDR
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
ASJ
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
ASJ
3 - 1
CDG
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
ALC
19%
23%
58%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAS
84%
12%
4%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
LUC
9%
19%
72%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 2
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
15 | 46 | 31 | -2 |