Clausura Colombia round 5

Deportivo Pasto vs Junior analysis

Deportivo Pasto Junior
79 ELO 80
-12.4% Tilt -14.7%
357º General ELO ranking 336º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.9%
Deportivo Pasto
28.3%
Draw
29.8%
Junior

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
Deportivo Pasto
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.8%
Win probability
Junior
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportivo Pasto
+5%
+2%
Junior

Points and table prediction

Deportivo Pasto
Their league position
Junior
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
18º
31
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Santa Fe
37
37
100%
América de Cali
37
37
100%
Millonarios
35
35
100%
Deportes Tolima
34
34
100%
At. Nacional
32
32
100%
Junior
31
31
0%
Once Caldas
31
31
0%
Deportivo Pasto
30
30
100%
Independiente Medellín
29
29
100%
Atlético Bucaramanga
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Fortaleza
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Deportivo Pereira
12º
27
27
12º
100%
La Equidad
13º
22
22
13º
100%
Águilas Doradas
14º
21
21
14º
100%
Patriotas Boyacá
15º
20
20
15º
100%
Alianza FC
16º
17
17
16º
100%
Deportivo Cali
17º
17
17
17º
100%
Jaguares FC
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Boyacá Chicó
19º
15
15
19º
100%
Envigado
20º
13
13
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Deportivo Pasto
Junior
Next round
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Deportivo Pasto
Junior
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Aug. 2024
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
1 - 2
Atlético Bucaramanga
BUC
40%
28%
32%
79 80 1 0
04 Aug. 2024
JAG
Jaguares FC
0 - 0
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
33%
30%
38%
79 75 4 0
30 Jul. 2024
PAS
Deportivo Pasto
2 - 0
Deportivo Pereira
PER
36%
28%
36%
78 80 2 +1
24 Jul. 2024
TOL
Deportes Tolima
2 - 1
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
48%
27%
25%
79 80 1 -1
18 Jul. 2024
SFE
Santa Fe
2 - 1
Deportivo Pasto
PAS
47%
27%
26%
79 80 1 0

Matches

Junior
Junior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2024
TOL
Deportes Tolima
0 - 1
Junior
JUN
46%
27%
27%
80 80 0 0
21 Aug. 2024
JUN
Junior
1 - 2
Colo-Colo
COL
55%
23%
21%
81 76 5 -1
18 Aug. 2024
JUN
Junior
2 - 1
Fortaleza
FOR
47%
27%
26%
80 80 0 +1
14 Aug. 2024
COL
Colo-Colo
1 - 0
Junior
JUN
36%
27%
37%
80 75 5 0
05 Aug. 2024
JUN
Junior
2 - 2
Alianza FC
ALI
54%
26%
20%
80 76 4 0