AD Nogueirense vs Ideal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
ADN
35%
27%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 0
ADN
62%
23%
15%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ADN
4 - 1
PAM
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ADN
3 - 0
ACA
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TOU
4 - 3
ADN
34%
28%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 0
OPE
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAB
1 - 0
IDE
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IDE
4 - 0
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAM
3 - 1
IDE
39%
24%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -3 |