Frei Paulistano vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 2
OSE
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 1
AFP
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 0
AFP
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 3
SER
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
CON
4 - 2
AFP
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 1
JEC
17%
25%
58%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 0
SOC
69%
21%
10%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |