AgD Ceuta vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
MEL
1 - 2
AGD
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
AGD
2 - 1
MLL
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
AGD
5 - 0
ATB
72%
16%
11%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
CIU
0 - 1
AGD
37%
26%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2001 |
ATB
2 - 1
AGD
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
ALM
2 - 1
ECI
56%
25%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
DHE
2 - 3
ALM
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ALM
3 - 2
GRA
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
BAL
2 - 2
ALM
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
ALM
3 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |