AD Ceuta FC C vs Polillas Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Ceuta FC C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
ADC
3 - 3
UCI
42%
21%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MIR
0 - 5
ADC
29%
21%
51%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 1
POL
20%
20%
60%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CJU
5 - 1
ADC
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 2
PAL
33%
21%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Polillas Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CJU
3 - 0
POL
87%
9%
5%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
POL
2 - 4
UCI
45%
22%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
4 - 1
POL
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
POL
5 - 2
MIR
67%
17%
16%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDB
5 - 3
POL
84%
10%
6%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |