Casillas vs El Tiemblo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
81%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
7 - 0
CAS
86%
10%
4%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 1
HOY
28%
21%
51%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CUE
3 - 0
CAS
73%
15%
13%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
CDS
41%
21%
37%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 2
RAM
13%
17%
70%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
El Tiemblo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TIE
2 - 1
SPO
43%
21%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TIE
2 - 1
ARE
41%
22%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
5 - 4
TIE
10%
15%
75%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TIE
7 - 2
ATL
91%
7%
3%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FCN
2 - 4
TIE
7%
12%
82%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |