Segunda B Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Alcorcón vs UE Sant Andreu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
UES
0 - 0
ALC
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VEC
0 - 1
ALC
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ALC
5 - 1
PPJ
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 2
ALC
25%
29%
47%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 1
LAN
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
UE Sant Andreu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
UES
0 - 0
ALC
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
UES
3 - 2
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ATB
0 - 2
UES
28%
28%
45%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
UES
3 - 2
LLE
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
UES
1 - 2
GRA
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |