Alcorcón vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CEL
1 - 3
ALC
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 0
RSI
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALC
32%
30%
38%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ALC
1 - 1
UDL
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PPJ
1 - 0
ALC
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 2
ALC
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
NEG
3 - 0
MEL
27%
28%
45%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MEL
2 - 1
SSR
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
VEC
3 - 0
MEL
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
MEL
1 - 1
ULP
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |