Alcorcón vs CDA Navalcarnero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
RMC
5 - 0
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CFP
1 - 1
ALC
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 4
RMC
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
41%
28%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SSR
3 - 0
ALC
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CDA Navalcarnero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 1
CEL
22%
29%
49%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 0
COS
74%
18%
8%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
MST
0 - 0
NAV
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
ADP
0 - 2
NAV
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 1
PNT
45%
26%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |