ARO Muscelul Câmpulung vs Speed Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+503%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
9º
10º
9º
19
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 36 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 31 |
3º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 24 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 23 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 18 |
7º
|
51.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 18 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 15 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 10 |
10º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 19% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 81% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
STV
1 - 5
ACI
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ACI
0 - 2
SCM
30%
22%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FIL
2 - 1
ACI
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ACI
6 - 0
CSG
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CSF
0 - 0
ACI
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Speed Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
ASA
0 - 2
SCM
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
CSG
1 - 0
ASA
60%
20%
21%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
ASA
0 - 2
JIU
33%
21%
46%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
UBR
2 - 1
ASA
61%
20%
20%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
STV
1 - 3
ASA
19%
19%
61%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |