Liga III round 14

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung vs Speed Academy analysis

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung Speed Academy
28 ELO 20
-9.1% Tilt -13.3%
10420º General ELO ranking 12684º
119º Country ELO ranking 139º
ELO win probability
62.2%
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
19.1%
Draw
18.7%
Speed Academy

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.7%
Win probability
Speed Academy
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
+60%
+451%
Speed Academy

Points and table prediction

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
Their league position
Speed Academy
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
15
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SCM Râmnicu Vâlcea
24
43
99%
Filiaşi
18
34
87%
Unirea Bascov
15
28
62.5%
Jiul Petrosani
8
24
34%
Vulturii Fărcăseti
16
23
29%
Speed Academy
15
21
20%
Gilortul
10
21
20.5%
Viitorul Dăești
13
21
24%
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
7
17
46%
Sparta Râmnicu Vâlcea
10º
6
13
10º
86.5%
Expected probabilities
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
Speed Academy
Promotion play-offs
1.5% 6.5%
Relegation play-offs
98.5% 93.5%

ELO progression

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
Speed Academy
Unirea Bascov
Viitorul Dăești
Vulturii Fărcăseti
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2024
STV
Sparta Râmnicu Vâlcea
1 - 5
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
ACI
28%
23%
49%
27 17 10 0
15 Nov. 2024
ACI
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
0 - 2
SCM Râmnicu Vâlcea
SCM
30%
22%
47%
29 38 9 -2
08 Nov. 2024
FIL
Filiaşi
2 - 1
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
ACI
74%
15%
11%
29 41 12 0
01 Nov. 2024
ACI
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
6 - 0
Gilortul
CSG
31%
22%
47%
26 31 5 +3
25 Oct. 2024
CSF
Vulturii Fărcăseti
0 - 0
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
ACI
28%
22%
50%
26 17 9 0

Matches

Speed Academy
Speed Academy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2024
ASA
Speed Academy
0 - 2
SCM Râmnicu Vâlcea
SCM
21%
21%
59%
21 39 18 0
15 Nov. 2024
CSG
Gilortul
1 - 0
Speed Academy
ASA
60%
20%
21%
21 28 7 0
08 Nov. 2024
ASA
Speed Academy
0 - 2
Jiul Petrosani
JIU
33%
21%
46%
22 27 5 -1
01 Nov. 2024
UBR
Unirea Bascov
2 - 1
Speed Academy
ASA
61%
20%
20%
22 32 10 0
25 Oct. 2024
STV
Sparta Râmnicu Vâlcea
1 - 3
Speed Academy
ASA
19%
19%
61%
22 12 10 0