Acren Lessines vs Union Rochefortoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
16º
16º
66
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
62% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 34 |
16º
|
86.5% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
86.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acren Lessines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ACR
3 - 1
HAM
45%
22%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
WAR
3 - 0
ACR
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ACR
1 - 1
LAL
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ACR
2 - 1
GAN
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SGI
1 - 2
ACR
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Union Rochefortoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LAL
1 - 2
ROC
27%
23%
50%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 0
VER
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 1
ROC
19%
21%
59%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
REB
1 - 2
ROC
34%
23%
43%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ROC
3 - 3
VER
34%
24%
41%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |