Acireale vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
59%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1993 |
PAD
3 - 2
ASC
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
ASC
3 - 0
CES
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
FIA
1 - 1
ASC
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
ASC
1 - 1
ASS
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
COS
1 - 1
ASC
45%
29%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |