Achuapa vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
8º
6º
4
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 34 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 29 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 29 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 27 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 26 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 26 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 26 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 20 |
11º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
70% | 71% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
2 - 1
ACH
50%
24%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ACH
2 - 0
CHI
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ACH
1 - 1
MUN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ACH
1 - 0
ANT
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 0
ACH
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
COB
1 - 0
TOR
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 0
XIN
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
XIN
2 - 0
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 0
LEO
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MIX
2 - 0
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |