Achel vs Herkol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
2º
5º
2º
36
6º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
10º
|
46% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
61.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
ACH
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ACH
3 - 0
WEK
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EKS
1 - 2
ACH
30%
22%
49%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ACH
4 - 1
GRO
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ACH
3 - 2
BRE
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Herkol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
ZNH
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MEE
3 - 2
HER
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
THA
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
JHF
0 - 1
HER
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HER
1 - 3
VVZ
27%
21%
52%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |