Académicos vs Tecos UAG II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académicos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 0
AGU
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 2
LOB
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 1
AGU
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
AGU
0 - 0
TIJ
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 1
AGU
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Tecos UAG II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TEC
0 - 1
ORI
38%
28%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 0
TEC
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
TEC
0 - 1
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
JAG
4 - 1
TEC
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 1
LOB
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |