Académicos vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académicos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2008 |
AGU
3 - 0
REB
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
GUE
0 - 0
AGU
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2008 |
AGU
0 - 1
LEO
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CDT
0 - 0
AGU
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
AGU
0 - 0
IRA
30%
27%
42%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 4
DUR
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
DUR
1 - 3
QRO
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
TIG
1 - 2
DUR
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
DUR
1 - 1
TAM
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
UAT
2 - 0
DUR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |