Segunda Liga round 16

Academico Viseu vs Vizela analysis

Academico Viseu Vizela
69 ELO 72
-9.9% Tilt 2.2%
1361º General ELO ranking 1006º
23º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
35.8%
Academico Viseu
27.2%
Draw
37%
Vizela

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
Academico Viseu
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37%
Win probability
Vizela
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Academico Viseu
-1%
-8%
Vizela

Points and table prediction

Academico Viseu
Their league position
Vizela
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
28
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tondela
37
62
45%
Benfica II
35
59
24%
Penafiel
37
59
10.5%
Chaves
31
53
18%
Vizela
28
52
15.5%
Academico Viseu
29
50
12%
FC Alverca
34
50
6.5%
Torreense
32
50
11%
União de Leiria
28
49
11%
Marítimo
14º
22
46
10º
9.5%
Portimonense
11º
26
45
11º
12%
Feirense
10º
27
43
12º
14.5%
Paços de Ferreira
13º
23
42
13º
14%
Leixões
12º
25
41
14º
15.5%
Porto II
16º
17
36
15º
20%
Felgueiras 1932
15º
22
35
16º
24%
Mafra
17º
16
32
17º
45.5%
UD Oliveirense
18º
12
24
18º
85.5%
Expected probabilities
Academico Viseu
Vizela
Promotion
6% 8%
Promotion play-offs
7.5% 13.5%
Mid-table
85.5% 78.5%
Relegation play-offs
1% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Academico Viseu
Vizela
FC Alverca
União de Leiria
Torreense
Leixões
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2025
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
4 - 3
Academico Viseu
ACV
42%
26%
32%
69 66 3 0
21 Dec. 2024
POR
Portimonense
1 - 1
Academico Viseu
ACV
38%
27%
35%
69 65 4 0
16 Dec. 2024
ACV
Academico Viseu
2 - 1
UD Oliveirense
OLI
63%
22%
15%
69 55 14 0
07 Dec. 2024
TOR
Torreense
1 - 0
Academico Viseu
ACV
33%
28%
39%
69 66 3 0
29 Nov. 2024
ACV
Academico Viseu
2 - 0
Leixões
LEX
48%
27%
25%
68 66 2 +1

Matches

Vizela
Vizela
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2025
VIZ
Vizela
3 - 2
Marítimo
MAR
40%
26%
34%
71 72 1 0
21 Dec. 2024
VIZ
Vizela
2 - 1
Porto II
POR
53%
24%
23%
70 64 6 +1
15 Dec. 2024
FEL
Felgueiras 1932
2 - 1
Vizela
VIZ
21%
25%
55%
71 58 13 -1
08 Dec. 2024
VIZ
Vizela
1 - 1
Tondela
TON
40%
27%
33%
70 73 3 +1
30 Nov. 2024
ALV
FC Alverca
4 - 2
Vizela
VIZ
22%
26%
52%
71 58 13 -1