Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
ACA
2 - 0
ATL
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
BEL
3 - 2
ACA
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
ACA
4 - 0
CAL
77%
14%
10%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
FAB
2 - 1
ACA
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
VST
2 - 3
TOR
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
FCB
1 - 2
VST
61%
20%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
LGC
4 - 1
VST
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
VST
1 - 1
ORI
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
ATL
3 - 0
VST
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |