Académica vs Os Unidos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.8%
11.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
76%
14%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
ACA
9 - 1
CAR
84%
10%
7%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
LEC
1 - 2
ACA
27%
21%
53%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
ACA
10 - 1
FCB
73%
14%
13%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
ACA
4 - 3
VIT
60%
18%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Os Unidos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
APO
3 - 2
UNI
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
UNI
2 - 4
SLB
18%
19%
64%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
CAR
0 - 4
UNI
48%
22%
31%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
UNI
2 - 1
LEC
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
UNI
2 - 3
FCB
65%
17%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |