Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
41.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
VST
4 - 1
ACA
67%
17%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 2
VIT
59%
19%
22%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 6
SLB
16%
17%
66%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
BEL
7 - 1
ACA
88%
8%
5%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
ACA
4 - 3
SPB
54%
20%
26%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
FCP
0 - 2
SLB
38%
20%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 0
FCP
68%
16%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
FCP
2 - 1
SPB
84%
10%
7%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1948 |
OLH
1 - 4
FCP
37%
21%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 1948 |
FCP
5 - 1
BOA
87%
8%
5%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |